Friday, January 8, 2016

2016: Oil Limits and the End of the Debt Supercycle

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"We are certainly entering a worrying period. We have not really understood how the economy works, so we have tended to assume we could fix one or another part of the problem. 

The underlying problem seems to be a problem of physics. 

The economy ...requires energy to grow. 

Ultimately, diminishing returns with respect to human labor–what some of us would call falling inflation-adjusted wages of non-elite workers–tends to bring economies down. Thus all economies have finite lifetimes, just as humans, animals, plants, and hurricanes do. 

We are in the unfortunate position of observing the end of our economy’s lifetime.

...We know that historically collapses have tended to take many years. This collapse may take place more rapidly because today’s economy is dependent on international supply chains, electricity, and liquid fuels–things that previous economies were not dependent on."